Kyler Murray vs Jordan Love
Who should you start in Week 5? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 5
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Kyler Murray by 0.9 projected points (12.6 vs 11.8), close enough that either call is defensible.
Kyler Murray faces NO, the 20th-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week. Jordan Love faces CHI, the 13th-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Kyler Murray, and it isn't close: 19.4 points of value over replacement separate them (-57.3 vs -76.7).
The draft market agrees: Kyler Murray goes first at ADP 129.2 vs 139.2 for Jordan Love.
| Kyler MurrayMIN | Jordan LoveGNB | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 5 opponent | NO | CHI | |
| Projected Week 5 points | 12.6 | 11.8 | Murray +0.9 pts |
| Matchup rank (QB vs defense, of 30) | #20 | #13 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 215.7 | 196.3 | Murray +19.4 pts |
| Points per game | 12.7 | 11.5 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -57.3 | -76.7 | Murray +19.4 |
| Overall rank | #134 | #156 | Murray by 22 |
| Position rank | QB17 | QB20 | |
| Market ADP | 129.2 | 139.2 | Love +10.0 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 11 | Rd 12 | |
| Bye week | 6 | 11 |
Should I start Kyler Murray or Jordan Love in Week 5?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Kyler Murray by 0.9 projected points (12.6 vs 11.8), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Kyler Murray or Jordan Love in 2026 fantasy football?
Kyler Murray. He projects 215.7 fantasy points with -57.3 value over replacement, vs 196.3 points and -76.7 for Jordan Love (QB, PPR).