Head to head · QB · 2026
Jared Goff vs Kyler Murray
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean, refreshed every morning.
The model's pick
Jared Goff
The model takes Jared Goff, and it isn't close: 27.9 points of value over replacement separate them (-27.5 vs -55.4).
The draft market agrees: Jared Goff goes first at ADP 93.7 vs 149.6 for Kyler Murray.
| Jared Goff | Kyler Murray | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Team | DET | MIN | |
| Overall rank | #109 | #145 | Goff by 36 |
| Position rank | QB17 | QB20 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 235.7 | 207.8 | Goff +27.9 pts |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -27.5 | -55.4 | Goff +27.9 |
| Market ADP | 93.7 | 149.6 | Murray +55.9 cheaper |
Should I draft Jared Goff or Kyler Murray in 2026 fantasy football?
Jared Goff. He projects 235.7 fantasy points with -27.5 value over replacement, vs 207.8 points and -55.4 for Kyler Murray (QB, PPR).