Head to head · QB · 2026
Jared Goff vs Baker Mayfield
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean — refreshed every morning.
The model's pick
Jared Goff
The model takes Jared Goff, and it isn't close — 16.3 points of value over replacement separate them (-27.5 vs -43.8).
The draft market agrees: Jared Goff goes first at ADP 90.8 vs 122.8 for Baker Mayfield.
| Jared Goff | Baker Mayfield | |
|---|---|---|
| Team | DET | TAM |
| Overall rank | #109 | #129 |
| Position rank | QB17 | QB19 |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 235.7 | 219.4 |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -27.5 | -43.8 |
| Market ADP | 90.8 | 122.8 |
Should I draft Jared Goff or Baker Mayfield in 2026 fantasy football?
Jared Goff. He projects 235.7 fantasy points with -27.5 value over replacement, vs 219.4 points and -43.8 for Baker Mayfield (QB, PPR).