Head to head · QB · 2026
Baker Mayfield vs Kyler Murray
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean — refreshed every morning.
The model's pick
Baker Mayfield
The model takes Baker Mayfield: a clear but modest edge of 11.7 points of value over replacement (-43.8 vs -55.4).
The draft market agrees: Baker Mayfield goes first at ADP 122.8 vs 149.7 for Kyler Murray.
| Baker Mayfield | Kyler Murray | |
|---|---|---|
| Team | TAM | MIN |
| Overall rank | #129 | #144 |
| Position rank | QB19 | QB20 |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 219.4 | 207.8 |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -43.8 | -55.4 |
| Market ADP | 122.8 | 149.7 |
Should I draft Baker Mayfield or Kyler Murray in 2026 fantasy football?
Baker Mayfield. He projects 219.4 fantasy points with -43.8 value over replacement, vs 207.8 points and -55.4 for Kyler Murray (QB, PPR).