Head to head · QB · 2026
Kyler Murray vs Tyler Shough
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean, refreshed every morning.
The model's pick
Kyler Murray
The model takes Kyler Murray, and it isn't close: 23.7 points of value over replacement separate them (-55.4 vs -79.2).
The draft market agrees: Kyler Murray goes first at ADP 149.6 vs 151.0 for Tyler Shough.
| Kyler Murray | Tyler Shough | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Team | MIN | NOR | |
| Overall rank | #145 | #177 | Murray by 32 |
| Position rank | QB20 | QB22 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 207.8 | 184.0 | Murray +23.7 pts |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -55.4 | -79.2 | Murray +23.7 |
| Market ADP | 149.6 | 151.0 | Shough +1.4 cheaper |
Should I draft Kyler Murray or Tyler Shough in 2026 fantasy football?
Kyler Murray. He projects 207.8 fantasy points with -55.4 value over replacement, vs 184.0 points and -79.2 for Tyler Shough (QB, PPR).