Head to head · QB · 2026
Baker Mayfield vs Tyler Shough
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean, refreshed every morning.
The model's pick
Baker Mayfield
The model takes Baker Mayfield, and it isn't close: 35.4 points of value over replacement separate them (-43.8 vs -79.2).
The draft market agrees: Baker Mayfield goes first at ADP 129.0 vs 151.0 for Tyler Shough.
| Baker Mayfield | Tyler Shough | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Team | TAM | NOR | |
| Overall rank | #130 | #177 | Mayfield by 47 |
| Position rank | QB19 | QB22 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 219.4 | 184.0 | Mayfield +35.4 pts |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -43.8 | -79.2 | Mayfield +35.4 |
| Market ADP | 129.0 | 151.0 | Shough +22.0 cheaper |
Should I draft Baker Mayfield or Tyler Shough in 2026 fantasy football?
Baker Mayfield. He projects 219.4 fantasy points with -43.8 value over replacement, vs 184.0 points and -79.2 for Tyler Shough (QB, PPR).