Baker Mayfield vs Jordan Love
Who should you start in Week 5? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 5
Start Baker Mayfield this week: a clear but modest edge of 2.0 projected points (13.7 vs 11.8).
Baker Mayfield faces DAL, the 2nd-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week. Jordan Love faces CHI, the 13th-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Baker Mayfield: a clear but modest edge of 10.3 points of value over replacement (-66.4 vs -76.7).
The draft market agrees: Baker Mayfield goes first at ADP 130.9 vs 139.2 for Jordan Love.
Health note: Baker Mayfield carries an injury flag of Out (Thumb), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Baker MayfieldTAM | Jordan LoveGNB | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 5 opponent | DAL | CHI | |
| Projected Week 5 points | 13.7 | 11.8 | Mayfield +2.0 pts |
| Matchup rank (QB vs defense, of 30) | #2 | #13 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 206.6 | 196.3 | Mayfield +10.3 pts |
| Points per game | 12.2 | 11.5 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -66.4 | -76.7 | Mayfield +10.3 |
| Overall rank | #148 | #156 | Mayfield by 8 |
| Position rank | QB19 | QB20 | |
| Market ADP | 130.9 | 139.2 | Love +8.3 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 11 | Rd 12 | |
| Bye week | 10 | 11 | |
| Injury flag | Out | None |
Should I start Baker Mayfield or Jordan Love in Week 5?
Start Baker Mayfield this week: a clear but modest edge of 2.0 projected points (13.7 vs 11.8).
Should I draft Baker Mayfield or Jordan Love in 2026 fantasy football?
Baker Mayfield. He projects 206.6 fantasy points with -66.4 value over replacement, vs 196.3 points and -76.7 for Jordan Love (QB, PPR).