Jordan Love vs Baker Mayfield
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean, refreshed every morning.
The call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Jordan Love by 1.6 points of value over replacement (-42.2 vs -43.8), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The room sees it the other way: drafters take Baker Mayfield first (ADP 129.2 vs 146.8). If the model is right, Jordan Love is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
| Jordan LoveGNB | Baker MayfieldTAM | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 221.0 | 219.4 | Love +1.6 pts |
| Points per game | 13.0 | 12.9 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -42.2 | -43.8 | Love +1.6 |
| Overall rank | #127 | #129 | Love by 2 |
| Position rank | QB18 | QB19 | |
| Market ADP | 146.8 | 129.2 | Love +17.6 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 13 | Rd 11 | |
| Bye week | 11 | 10 |
Should I draft Jordan Love or Baker Mayfield in 2026 fantasy football?
Jordan Love. He projects 221.0 fantasy points with -42.2 value over replacement, vs 219.4 points and -43.8 for Baker Mayfield (QB, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.