T.J. Hockenson vs Michael Mayer
Who should you start in Week 4? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 4
Start T.J. Hockenson this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.3 projected points (8.0 vs 6.8).
T.J. Hockenson faces MIA, the 9th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week. Michael Mayer faces KC, the 28th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes T.J. Hockenson: a clear but modest edge of 6.6 points of value over replacement (-65.2 vs -71.8).
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
| T.J. HockensonMIN | Michael MayerLVR | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 4 opponent | MIA | KC | |
| Projected Week 4 points | 8.0 | 6.8 | Hockenson +1.3 pts |
| Matchup rank (TE vs defense, of 32) | #9 | #28 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 132.3 | 125.7 | Hockenson +6.6 pts |
| Points per game | 7.8 | 7.4 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -65.2 | -71.8 | Hockenson +6.6 |
| Overall rank | #148 | #158 | Hockenson by 10 |
| Position rank | TE21 | TE23 | |
| Market ADP | 162.0 | - | |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 14 | - | |
| Bye week | 6 | 13 |
Should I start T.J. Hockenson or Michael Mayer in Week 4?
Start T.J. Hockenson this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.3 projected points (8.0 vs 6.8).
Should I draft T.J. Hockenson or Michael Mayer in 2026 fantasy football?
T.J. Hockenson. He projects 132.3 fantasy points with -65.2 value over replacement, vs 125.7 points and -71.8 for Michael Mayer (TE, PPR).