T.J. Hockenson vs Brenton Strange
Who should you start in Week 3? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 3
This week is a coin flip. The model leans T.J. Hockenson by 0.7 projected points (7.4 vs 6.8), close enough that either call is defensible.
T.J. Hockenson faces TB, the 3rd-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week. Brenton Strange faces NE, the 11th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans T.J. Hockenson by 3.6 points of value over replacement (-65.2 vs -68.9), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market agrees: T.J. Hockenson goes first at ADP 162.0 vs 162.8 for Brenton Strange.
| T.J. HockensonMIN | Brenton StrangeJAX | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 3 opponent | TB | NE | |
| Projected Week 3 points | 7.4 | 6.8 | Hockenson +0.7 pts |
| Matchup rank (TE vs defense, of 32) | #3 | #11 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 113.2 | 109.6 | Hockenson +3.6 pts |
| Points per game | 6.7 | 6.4 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -65.2 | -68.9 | Hockenson +3.6 |
| Overall rank | #144 | #148 | Hockenson by 4 |
| Position rank | TE20 | TE21 | |
| Market ADP | 162.0 | 162.8 | Strange +0.8 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 14 | Rd 14 | |
| Bye week | 6 | 7 |
Should I start T.J. Hockenson or Brenton Strange in Week 3?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans T.J. Hockenson by 0.7 projected points (7.4 vs 6.8), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft T.J. Hockenson or Brenton Strange in 2026 fantasy football?
T.J. Hockenson. He projects 113.2 fantasy points with -65.2 value over replacement, vs 109.6 points and -68.9 for Brenton Strange (TE, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.