Oronde Gadsden II vs T.J. Hockenson
Who should you start in Week 3? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 3
Start T.J. Hockenson this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.3 projected points (7.4 vs 6.1).
T.J. Hockenson faces TB, the 3rd-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week. Oronde Gadsden II faces BUF, the 29th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week.
Season-long, the model still ranks Oronde Gadsden II ahead. This is a matchup call for Week 3, not a change of heart about the rest of the year.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Oronde Gadsden II: a clear but modest edge of 7.6 points of value over replacement (-57.7 vs -65.2).
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
| Oronde Gadsden IILAC | T.J. HockensonMIN | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 3 opponent | BUF | TB | |
| Projected Week 3 points | 6.1 | 7.4 | Hockenson +1.3 pts |
| Matchup rank (TE vs defense, of 32) | #29 | #3 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 120.8 | 113.2 | II +7.6 pts |
| Points per game | 7.1 | 6.7 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -57.7 | -65.2 | II +7.6 |
| Overall rank | #134 | #144 | II by 10 |
| Position rank | TE18 | TE20 | |
| Market ADP | - | 162.0 | |
| Typical round (12-team) | - | Rd 14 | |
| Bye week | 7 | 6 |
Should I start Oronde Gadsden II or T.J. Hockenson in Week 3?
Start T.J. Hockenson this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.3 projected points (7.4 vs 6.1).
Should I draft Oronde Gadsden II or T.J. Hockenson in 2026 fantasy football?
Oronde Gadsden II. He projects 120.8 fantasy points with -57.7 value over replacement, vs 113.2 points and -65.2 for T.J. Hockenson (TE, PPR).