Juwan Johnson vs T.J. Hockenson
Who should you start in Week 5? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 5
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Juwan Johnson by 0.4 projected points (7.4 vs 7.1), close enough that either call is defensible.
Juwan Johnson faces MIN, the 17th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week. T.J. Hockenson faces NO, the 10th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Juwan Johnson: a clear but modest edge of 11.2 points of value over replacement (-51.4 vs -62.6).
The draft market agrees: Juwan Johnson goes first at ADP 154.5 vs 162.0 for T.J. Hockenson.
Health note: T.J. Hockenson carries an injury flag of Out (Concussion), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Juwan JohnsonNOR | T.J. HockensonMIN | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 5 opponent | MIN | NO | |
| Projected Week 5 points | 7.4 | 7.1 | Johnson +0.4 pts |
| Matchup rank (TE vs defense, of 30) | #17 | #10 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 127.0 | 115.8 | Johnson +11.2 pts |
| Points per game | 7.5 | 6.8 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -51.4 | -62.6 | Johnson +11.2 |
| Overall rank | #130 | #141 | Johnson by 11 |
| Position rank | TE17 | TE18 | |
| Market ADP | 154.5 | 162.0 | Hockenson +7.5 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 13 | Rd 14 | |
| Bye week | 8 | 6 | |
| Injury flag | None | Out |
Should I start Juwan Johnson or T.J. Hockenson in Week 5?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Juwan Johnson by 0.4 projected points (7.4 vs 7.1), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Juwan Johnson or T.J. Hockenson in 2026 fantasy football?
Juwan Johnson. He projects 127.0 fantasy points with -51.4 value over replacement, vs 115.8 points and -62.6 for T.J. Hockenson (TE, PPR).