Hunter Henry vs T.J. Hockenson
Who should you start in Week 3? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 3
This week is a coin flip. The model leans T.J. Hockenson by 0.1 projected points (7.7 vs 7.6), close enough that either call is defensible.
T.J. Hockenson faces TB, the 3rd-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week. Hunter Henry faces JAX, the 15th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week.
Season-long, the model still ranks Hunter Henry ahead. This is a matchup call for Week 3, not a change of heart about the rest of the year.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Hunter Henry: a clear but modest edge of 11.5 points of value over replacement (-48.1 vs -59.6).
The draft market agrees: Hunter Henry goes first at ADP 154.5 vs 162.0 for T.J. Hockenson.
| Hunter HenryNWE | T.J. HockensonMIN | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 3 opponent | JAX | TB | |
| Projected Week 3 points | 7.6 | 7.7 | Hockenson +0.1 pts |
| Matchup rank (TE vs defense, of 32) | #15 | #3 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 129.1 | 117.6 | Henry +11.5 pts |
| Points per game | 7.6 | 6.9 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -48.1 | -59.6 | Henry +11.5 |
| Overall rank | #128 | #138 | Henry by 10 |
| Position rank | TE16 | TE19 | |
| Market ADP | 154.5 | 162.0 | Hockenson +7.5 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 13 | Rd 14 | |
| Bye week | 11 | 6 |
Should I start Hunter Henry or T.J. Hockenson in Week 3?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans T.J. Hockenson by 0.1 projected points (7.7 vs 7.6), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Hunter Henry or T.J. Hockenson in 2026 fantasy football?
Hunter Henry. He projects 129.1 fantasy points with -48.1 value over replacement, vs 117.6 points and -59.6 for T.J. Hockenson (TE, PPR).