Pat Freiermuth vs T.J. Hockenson
Who should you start in Week 4? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 4
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Pat Freiermuth by 0.1 projected points (8.1 vs 8.0), close enough that either call is defensible.
Pat Freiermuth faces CLE, the 16th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week. T.J. Hockenson faces MIA, the 9th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Pat Freiermuth: a clear but modest edge of 6.8 points of value over replacement (-58.4 vs -65.2).
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
| Pat FreiermuthPIT | T.J. HockensonMIN | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 4 opponent | CLE | MIA | |
| Projected Week 4 points | 8.1 | 8.0 | Freiermuth +0.1 pts |
| Matchup rank (TE vs defense, of 32) | #16 | #9 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 139.1 | 132.3 | Freiermuth +6.8 pts |
| Points per game | 8.2 | 7.8 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -58.4 | -65.2 | Freiermuth +6.8 |
| Overall rank | #135 | #148 | Freiermuth by 13 |
| Position rank | TE19 | TE21 | |
| Market ADP | - | 162.0 | |
| Typical round (12-team) | - | Rd 14 | |
| Bye week | 9 | 6 |
Should I start Pat Freiermuth or T.J. Hockenson in Week 4?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Pat Freiermuth by 0.1 projected points (8.1 vs 8.0), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Pat Freiermuth or T.J. Hockenson in 2026 fantasy football?
Pat Freiermuth. He projects 139.1 fantasy points with -58.4 value over replacement, vs 132.3 points and -65.2 for T.J. Hockenson (TE, PPR).