Pat Freiermuth vs Cade Otton
Who should you start in Week 4? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 4
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Pat Freiermuth by 0.9 projected points (8.1 vs 7.2), close enough that either call is defensible.
Pat Freiermuth faces CLE, the 16th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week. Cade Otton faces GB, the 30th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Pat Freiermuth by 2.0 points of value over replacement (-58.4 vs -60.4), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
| Pat FreiermuthPIT | Cade OttonTAM | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 4 opponent | CLE | GB | |
| Projected Week 4 points | 8.1 | 7.2 | Freiermuth +0.9 pts |
| Matchup rank (TE vs defense, of 32) | #16 | #30 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 139.1 | 137.1 | Freiermuth +2.0 pts |
| Points per game | 8.2 | 8.1 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -58.4 | -60.4 | Freiermuth +2.0 |
| Overall rank | #135 | #140 | Freiermuth by 5 |
| Position rank | TE19 | TE20 | |
| Market ADP | - | - | |
| Typical round (12-team) | - | - | |
| Bye week | 9 | 10 |
Should I start Pat Freiermuth or Cade Otton in Week 4?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Pat Freiermuth by 0.9 projected points (8.1 vs 7.2), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Pat Freiermuth or Cade Otton in 2026 fantasy football?
Pat Freiermuth. He projects 139.1 fantasy points with -58.4 value over replacement, vs 137.1 points and -60.4 for Cade Otton (TE, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.