Mike Gesicki vs Pat Freiermuth
Who should you start in Week 4? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 4
Start Mike Gesicki this week: a clear but modest edge of 2.0 projected points (10.1 vs 8.1).
Mike Gesicki faces JAX, the 3rd-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week. Pat Freiermuth faces CLE, the 16th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Mike Gesicki: a clear but modest edge of 11.8 points of value over replacement (-46.6 vs -58.4).
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
| Mike GesickiCIN | Pat FreiermuthPIT | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 4 opponent | JAX | CLE | |
| Projected Week 4 points | 10.1 | 8.1 | Gesicki +2.0 pts |
| Matchup rank (TE vs defense, of 32) | #3 | #16 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 150.9 | 139.1 | Gesicki +11.8 pts |
| Points per game | 8.9 | 8.2 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -46.6 | -58.4 | Gesicki +11.8 |
| Overall rank | #124 | #135 | Gesicki by 11 |
| Position rank | TE16 | TE19 | |
| Market ADP | - | - | |
| Typical round (12-team) | - | - | |
| Bye week | 6 | 9 |
Should I start Mike Gesicki or Pat Freiermuth in Week 4?
Start Mike Gesicki this week: a clear but modest edge of 2.0 projected points (10.1 vs 8.1).
Should I draft Mike Gesicki or Pat Freiermuth in 2026 fantasy football?
Mike Gesicki. He projects 150.9 fantasy points with -46.6 value over replacement, vs 139.1 points and -58.4 for Pat Freiermuth (TE, PPR).