Mike Gesicki vs Noah Fant
Who should you start in Week 4? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 4
Start Mike Gesicki this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.9 projected points (10.1 vs 8.2).
Mike Gesicki faces JAX, the 3rd-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week. Noah Fant faces ATL, the 27th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Mike Gesicki by 1.9 points of value over replacement (-46.6 vs -48.6), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
| Mike GesickiCIN | Noah FantNOR | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 4 opponent | JAX | ATL | |
| Projected Week 4 points | 10.1 | 8.2 | Gesicki +1.9 pts |
| Matchup rank (TE vs defense, of 32) | #3 | #27 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 150.9 | 149.0 | Gesicki +1.9 pts |
| Points per game | 8.9 | 8.8 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -46.6 | -48.6 | Gesicki +1.9 |
| Overall rank | #124 | #126 | Gesicki by 2 |
| Position rank | TE16 | TE17 | |
| Market ADP | - | - | |
| Typical round (12-team) | - | - | |
| Bye week | 6 | 8 |
Should I start Mike Gesicki or Noah Fant in Week 4?
Start Mike Gesicki this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.9 projected points (10.1 vs 8.2).
Should I draft Mike Gesicki or Noah Fant in 2026 fantasy football?
Mike Gesicki. He projects 150.9 fantasy points with -46.6 value over replacement, vs 149.0 points and -48.6 for Noah Fant (TE, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.