Cade Otton vs Michael Mayer
Who should you start in Week 4? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 4
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Cade Otton by 0.4 projected points (7.2 vs 6.8), close enough that either call is defensible.
Cade Otton faces GB, the 30th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week. Michael Mayer faces KC, the 28th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Cade Otton: a clear but modest edge of 11.4 points of value over replacement (-60.4 vs -71.8).
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
| Cade OttonTAM | Michael MayerLVR | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 4 opponent | GB | KC | |
| Projected Week 4 points | 7.2 | 6.8 | Otton +0.4 pts |
| Matchup rank (TE vs defense, of 32) | #30 | #28 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 137.1 | 125.7 | Otton +11.4 pts |
| Points per game | 8.1 | 7.4 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -60.4 | -71.8 | Otton +11.4 |
| Overall rank | #140 | #158 | Otton by 18 |
| Position rank | TE20 | TE23 | |
| Market ADP | - | - | |
| Typical round (12-team) | - | - | |
| Bye week | 10 | 13 |
Should I start Cade Otton or Michael Mayer in Week 4?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Cade Otton by 0.4 projected points (7.2 vs 6.8), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Cade Otton or Michael Mayer in 2026 fantasy football?
Cade Otton. He projects 137.1 fantasy points with -60.4 value over replacement, vs 125.7 points and -71.8 for Michael Mayer (TE, PPR).