Cade Otton vs Oronde Gadsden II
Who should you start in Week 4? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 4
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Oronde Gadsden II by 0.2 projected points (7.3 vs 7.2), close enough that either call is defensible.
Oronde Gadsden II faces SEA, the 21st-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week. Cade Otton faces GB, the 30th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week.
Season-long, the model still ranks Cade Otton ahead. This is a matchup call for Week 4, not a change of heart about the rest of the year.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Cade Otton: a clear but modest edge of 9.5 points of value over replacement (-60.4 vs -69.9).
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
| Cade OttonTAM | Oronde Gadsden IILAC | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 4 opponent | GB | SEA | |
| Projected Week 4 points | 7.2 | 7.3 | II +0.2 pts |
| Matchup rank (TE vs defense, of 32) | #30 | #21 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 137.1 | 127.7 | Otton +9.5 pts |
| Points per game | 8.1 | 7.5 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -60.4 | -69.9 | Otton +9.5 |
| Overall rank | #140 | #153 | Otton by 13 |
| Position rank | TE20 | TE22 | |
| Market ADP | - | - | |
| Typical round (12-team) | - | - | |
| Bye week | 10 | 7 |
Should I start Cade Otton or Oronde Gadsden II in Week 4?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Oronde Gadsden II by 0.2 projected points (7.3 vs 7.2), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Cade Otton or Oronde Gadsden II in 2026 fantasy football?
Cade Otton. He projects 137.1 fantasy points with -60.4 value over replacement, vs 127.7 points and -69.9 for Oronde Gadsden II (TE, PPR).