Tyler Shough vs Malik Willis
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean, refreshed every morning.
QB21
Tyler Shough
184.0
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The model's pick
VS
QB24
Malik Willis
168.2
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The call
The model takes Tyler Shough, and it isn't close: 15.8 points of value over replacement separate them (-67.8 vs -83.6).
The draft market agrees: Tyler Shough goes first at ADP 135.1 vs 162.3 for Malik Willis.
| Tyler ShoughNOR | Malik WillisMIA | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 184.0 | 168.2 | Shough +15.8 pts |
| Points per game | 10.8 | 9.9 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -67.8 | -83.6 | Shough +15.8 |
| Overall rank | #162 | #178 | Shough by 16 |
| Position rank | QB21 | QB24 | |
| Market ADP | 135.1 | 162.3 | Willis +27.2 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 12 | Rd 14 | |
| Bye week | 8 | 6 |
Should I draft Tyler Shough or Malik Willis in 2026 fantasy football?
Tyler Shough. He projects 184.0 fantasy points with -67.8 value over replacement, vs 168.2 points and -83.6 for Malik Willis (QB, PPR).