C.J. Stroud vs Malik Willis
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean, refreshed every morning.
QB22
C.J. Stroud
178.2
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The model's pick
VS
QB24
Malik Willis
168.2
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The call
The model takes C.J. Stroud: a clear but modest edge of 10.0 points of value over replacement (-73.6 vs -83.6).
The draft market agrees: C.J. Stroud goes first at ADP 158.2 vs 162.3 for Malik Willis.
| C.J. StroudHOU | Malik WillisMIA | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 178.2 | 168.2 | Stroud +10.0 pts |
| Points per game | 10.5 | 9.9 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -73.6 | -83.6 | Stroud +10.0 |
| Overall rank | #170 | #178 | Stroud by 8 |
| Position rank | QB22 | QB24 | |
| Market ADP | 158.2 | 162.3 | Willis +4.1 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 14 | Rd 14 | |
| Bye week | 8 | 6 |
Should I draft C.J. Stroud or Malik Willis in 2026 fantasy football?
C.J. Stroud. He projects 178.2 fantasy points with -73.6 value over replacement, vs 168.2 points and -83.6 for Malik Willis (QB, PPR).