Sam Darnold vs Malik Willis
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean, refreshed every morning.
QB23
Sam Darnold
176.0
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The model's pick
VS
QB24
Malik Willis
168.2
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The call
The model takes Sam Darnold: a clear but modest edge of 7.8 points of value over replacement (-75.8 vs -83.6).
The draft market agrees: Sam Darnold goes first at ADP 143.4 vs 162.3 for Malik Willis.
| Sam DarnoldSEA | Malik WillisMIA | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 176.0 | 168.2 | Darnold +7.8 pts |
| Points per game | 10.4 | 9.9 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -75.8 | -83.6 | Darnold +7.8 |
| Overall rank | #171 | #178 | Darnold by 7 |
| Position rank | QB23 | QB24 | |
| Market ADP | 143.4 | 162.3 | Willis +18.9 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 12 | Rd 14 | |
| Bye week | 11 | 6 |
Should I draft Sam Darnold or Malik Willis in 2026 fantasy football?
Sam Darnold. He projects 176.0 fantasy points with -75.8 value over replacement, vs 168.2 points and -83.6 for Malik Willis (QB, PPR).