Sam Darnold vs Daniel Jones
Who should you start in Week 7? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 7
Start Sam Darnold this week: a clear but modest edge of 2.2 projected points (14.3 vs 12.2).
Sam Darnold faces KC, the 9th-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week. Daniel Jones faces MIN, the 25th-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Sam Darnold: a clear but modest edge of 10.3 points of value over replacement (-57.6 vs -68.0).
The draft market agrees: Sam Darnold goes first at ADP 144.4 vs 160.6 for Daniel Jones.
| Sam DarnoldSEA | Daniel JonesIND | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 7 opponent | KC | MIN | |
| Projected Week 7 points | 14.3 | 12.2 | Darnold +2.2 pts |
| Matchup rank (QB vs defense, of 28) | #9 | #25 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 235.3 | 224.9 | Darnold +10.3 pts |
| Points per game | 13.8 | 13.2 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -57.6 | -68.0 | Darnold +10.3 |
| Overall rank | #139 | #154 | Darnold by 15 |
| Position rank | QB19 | QB21 | |
| Market ADP | 144.4 | 160.6 | Jones +16.2 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 12 | Rd 14 | |
| Bye week | 11 | 13 |
Should I start Sam Darnold or Daniel Jones in Week 7?
Start Sam Darnold this week: a clear but modest edge of 2.2 projected points (14.3 vs 12.2).
Should I draft Sam Darnold or Daniel Jones in 2026 fantasy football?
Sam Darnold. He projects 235.3 fantasy points with -57.6 value over replacement, vs 224.9 points and -68.0 for Daniel Jones (QB, PPR).