Sam Darnold vs Daniel Jones
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean, refreshed every morning.
QB23
Sam Darnold
176.0
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The model's pick
VS
QB25
Daniel Jones
159.1
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The call
The model takes Sam Darnold, and it isn't close: 16.9 points of value over replacement separate them (-75.8 vs -92.7).
The draft market agrees: Sam Darnold goes first at ADP 143.4 vs 160.0 for Daniel Jones.
| Sam DarnoldSEA | Daniel JonesIND | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 176.0 | 159.1 | Darnold +16.9 pts |
| Points per game | 10.4 | 9.4 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -75.8 | -92.7 | Darnold +16.9 |
| Overall rank | #171 | #199 | Darnold by 28 |
| Position rank | QB23 | QB25 | |
| Market ADP | 143.4 | 160.0 | Jones +16.6 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 12 | Rd 14 | |
| Bye week | 11 | 13 |
Should I draft Sam Darnold or Daniel Jones in 2026 fantasy football?
Sam Darnold. He projects 176.0 fantasy points with -75.8 value over replacement, vs 159.1 points and -92.7 for Daniel Jones (QB, PPR).