Jaxson Dart vs Sam Darnold
Who should you start in Week 6? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 6
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Sam Darnold by 0.2 projected points (14.0 vs 13.9), close enough that either call is defensible.
Sam Darnold faces DEN, the 16th-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week. Jaxson Dart faces NO, the 26th-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week.
Season-long, the model still ranks Jaxson Dart ahead. This is a matchup call for Week 6, not a change of heart about the rest of the year.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Jaxson Dart, and it isn't close: 20.5 points of value over replacement separate them (-31.1 vs -51.6).
The draft market agrees: Jaxson Dart goes first at ADP 118.2 vs 144.4 for Sam Darnold.
Health note: Jaxson Dart carries an injury flag of IR (Knee - Meniscus), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Jaxson DartNYG | Sam DarnoldSEA | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 6 opponent | NO | DEN | |
| Projected Week 6 points | 13.9 | 14.0 | Darnold +0.2 pts |
| Matchup rank (QB vs defense, of 28) | #26 | #16 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 257.5 | 237.0 | Dart +20.5 pts |
| Points per game | 15.1 | 13.9 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -31.1 | -51.6 | Dart +20.5 |
| Overall rank | #111 | #130 | Dart by 19 |
| Position rank | QB18 | QB21 | |
| Market ADP | 118.2 | 144.4 | Darnold +26.2 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 10 | Rd 12 | |
| Bye week | 8 | 11 | |
| Injury flag | IR | None |
Should I start Jaxson Dart or Sam Darnold in Week 6?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Sam Darnold by 0.2 projected points (14.0 vs 13.9), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Jaxson Dart or Sam Darnold in 2026 fantasy football?
Jaxson Dart. He projects 257.5 fantasy points with -31.1 value over replacement, vs 237.0 points and -51.6 for Sam Darnold (QB, PPR).