Jaxson Dart vs Lamar Jackson
Who should you start in Week 6? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 6
Start Lamar Jackson this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.1 projected points (15.0 vs 13.9).
Lamar Jackson faces CLE, the 6th-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week. Jaxson Dart faces NO, the 26th-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week.
Season-long, the model still ranks Jaxson Dart ahead. This is a matchup call for Week 6, not a change of heart about the rest of the year.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Jaxson Dart, and it isn't close: 19.5 points of value over replacement separate them (-31.1 vs -50.6).
The room sees it the other way: drafters take Lamar Jackson first (ADP 54.6 vs 118.2). If the model is right, Jaxson Dart is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
Health note: Jaxson Dart carries an injury flag of IR (Knee - Meniscus), which is already reflected in his projection.
Health note: Lamar Jackson carries an injury flag of Questionable (Ankle), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Jaxson DartNYG | Lamar JacksonBAL | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 6 opponent | NO | CLE | |
| Projected Week 6 points | 13.9 | 15.0 | Jackson +1.1 pts |
| Matchup rank (QB vs defense, of 28) | #26 | #6 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 257.5 | 238.0 | Dart +19.5 pts |
| Points per game | 15.1 | 14.0 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -31.1 | -50.6 | Dart +19.5 |
| Overall rank | #111 | #128 | Dart by 17 |
| Position rank | QB18 | QB20 | |
| Market ADP | 118.2 | 54.6 | Dart +63.6 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 10 | Rd 5 | |
| Bye week | 8 | 13 | |
| Injury flag | IR | Questionable |
Should I start Jaxson Dart or Lamar Jackson in Week 6?
Start Lamar Jackson this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.1 projected points (15.0 vs 13.9).
Should I draft Jaxson Dart or Lamar Jackson in 2026 fantasy football?
Jaxson Dart. He projects 257.5 fantasy points with -31.1 value over replacement, vs 238.0 points and -50.6 for Lamar Jackson (QB, PPR).