Bo Nix vs Sam Darnold
Who should you start in Week 6? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 6
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Bo Nix by 0.8 projected points (14.8 vs 14.0), close enough that either call is defensible.
Bo Nix faces SEA, the 7th-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week. Sam Darnold faces DEN, the 16th-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Bo Nix by 2.4 points of value over replacement (-49.2 vs -51.6), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market agrees: Bo Nix goes first at ADP 109.6 vs 144.4 for Sam Darnold.
| Bo NixDEN | Sam DarnoldSEA | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 6 opponent | SEA | DEN | |
| Projected Week 6 points | 14.8 | 14.0 | Nix +0.8 pts |
| Matchup rank (QB vs defense, of 28) | #7 | #16 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 239.4 | 237.0 | Nix +2.4 pts |
| Points per game | 14.1 | 13.9 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -49.2 | -51.6 | Nix +2.4 |
| Overall rank | #127 | #130 | Nix by 3 |
| Position rank | QB19 | QB21 | |
| Market ADP | 109.6 | 144.4 | Darnold +34.8 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 10 | Rd 12 | |
| Bye week | 10 | 11 |
Should I start Bo Nix or Sam Darnold in Week 6?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Bo Nix by 0.8 projected points (14.8 vs 14.0), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Bo Nix or Sam Darnold in 2026 fantasy football?
Bo Nix. He projects 239.4 fantasy points with -49.2 value over replacement, vs 237.0 points and -51.6 for Sam Darnold (QB, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.