Jacoby Brissett vs Sam Darnold
Who should you start in Week 7? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 7
Start Jacoby Brissett this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.9 projected points (16.3 vs 14.3).
Jacoby Brissett faces DEN, the 16th-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week. Sam Darnold faces KC, the 9th-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Jacoby Brissett, and it isn't close: 41.8 points of value over replacement separate them (-15.8 vs -57.6).
The room sees it the other way: drafters take Sam Darnold first (ADP 144.4 vs 174.1). If the model is right, Jacoby Brissett is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
| Jacoby BrissettARI | Sam DarnoldSEA | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 7 opponent | DEN | KC | |
| Projected Week 7 points | 16.3 | 14.3 | Brissett +1.9 pts |
| Matchup rank (QB vs defense, of 28) | #16 | #9 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 277.1 | 235.3 | Brissett +41.8 pts |
| Points per game | 16.3 | 13.8 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -15.8 | -57.6 | Brissett +41.8 |
| Overall rank | #89 | #139 | Brissett by 50 |
| Position rank | QB17 | QB19 | |
| Market ADP | 174.1 | 144.4 | Brissett +29.7 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 15 | Rd 12 | |
| Bye week | 14 | 11 |
Should I start Jacoby Brissett or Sam Darnold in Week 7?
Start Jacoby Brissett this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.9 projected points (16.3 vs 14.3).
Should I draft Jacoby Brissett or Sam Darnold in 2026 fantasy football?
Jacoby Brissett. He projects 277.1 fantasy points with -15.8 value over replacement, vs 235.3 points and -57.6 for Sam Darnold (QB, PPR).