Jordan Love vs Sam Darnold
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean, refreshed every morning.
QB20
Jordan Love
210.4
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The model's pick
VS
QB23
Sam Darnold
176.0
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The call
The model takes Jordan Love, and it isn't close: 34.3 points of value over replacement separate them (-41.4 vs -75.8).
The room sees it the other way: drafters take Sam Darnold first (ADP 143.4 vs 147.0). If the model is right, Jordan Love is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
| Jordan LoveGNB | Sam DarnoldSEA | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 210.4 | 176.0 | Love +34.3 pts |
| Points per game | 12.4 | 10.4 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -41.4 | -75.8 | Love +34.3 |
| Overall rank | #125 | #171 | Love by 46 |
| Position rank | QB20 | QB23 | |
| Market ADP | 147.0 | 143.4 | Love +3.6 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 13 | Rd 12 | |
| Bye week | 11 | 11 |
Should I draft Jordan Love or Sam Darnold in 2026 fantasy football?
Jordan Love. He projects 210.4 fantasy points with -41.4 value over replacement, vs 176.0 points and -75.8 for Sam Darnold (QB, PPR).