Trevor Lawrence vs Kirk Cousins
Who should you start in Week 4? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 4
Start Trevor Lawrence this week: a clear but modest edge of 2.6 projected points (17.2 vs 14.6).
Trevor Lawrence faces CIN, the 11th-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week. Kirk Cousins faces KC, the 28th-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Trevor Lawrence: a clear but modest edge of 14.8 points of value over replacement (13.8 vs -1.0).
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
| Trevor LawrenceJAX | Kirk CousinsLVR | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 4 opponent | CIN | KC | |
| Projected Week 4 points | 17.2 | 14.6 | Lawrence +2.6 pts |
| Matchup rank (QB vs defense, of 32) | #11 | #28 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 282.5 | 267.7 | Lawrence +14.8 pts |
| Points per game | 16.6 | 15.7 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 13.8 | -1.0 | Lawrence +14.8 |
| Overall rank | #56 | #73 | Lawrence by 17 |
| Position rank | QB10 | QB13 | |
| Market ADP | 91.1 | - | |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 8 | - | |
| Bye week | 7 | 13 |
Should I start Trevor Lawrence or Kirk Cousins in Week 4?
Start Trevor Lawrence this week: a clear but modest edge of 2.6 projected points (17.2 vs 14.6).
Should I draft Trevor Lawrence or Kirk Cousins in 2026 fantasy football?
Trevor Lawrence. He projects 282.5 fantasy points with 13.8 value over replacement, vs 267.7 points and -1.0 for Kirk Cousins (QB, PPR).