Trevor Lawrence vs Jacoby Brissett
Who should you start in Week 4? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 4
Start Trevor Lawrence this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.1 projected points (17.2 vs 16.1).
Trevor Lawrence faces CIN, the 11th-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week. Jacoby Brissett faces NYG, the 13th-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Trevor Lawrence: a clear but modest edge of 13.8 points of value over replacement (13.8 vs 0.0).
The draft market agrees: Trevor Lawrence goes first at ADP 91.1 vs 174.1 for Jacoby Brissett.
| Trevor LawrenceJAX | Jacoby BrissettARI | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 4 opponent | CIN | NYG | |
| Projected Week 4 points | 17.2 | 16.1 | Lawrence +1.1 pts |
| Matchup rank (QB vs defense, of 32) | #11 | #13 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 282.5 | 268.7 | Lawrence +13.8 pts |
| Points per game | 16.6 | 15.8 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 13.8 | 0.0 | Lawrence +13.8 |
| Overall rank | #56 | #71 | Lawrence by 15 |
| Position rank | QB10 | QB12 | |
| Market ADP | 91.1 | 174.1 | Brissett +83.0 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 8 | Rd 15 | |
| Bye week | 7 | 14 |
Should I start Trevor Lawrence or Jacoby Brissett in Week 4?
Start Trevor Lawrence this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.1 projected points (17.2 vs 16.1).
Should I draft Trevor Lawrence or Jacoby Brissett in 2026 fantasy football?
Trevor Lawrence. He projects 282.5 fantasy points with 13.8 value over replacement, vs 268.7 points and 0.0 for Jacoby Brissett (QB, PPR).