Joe Burrow vs Patrick Mahomes
Who should you start in Week 6? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 6
Start Patrick Mahomes this week: Joe Burrow is on bye in Week 6.
Patrick Mahomes gets LAC, the 22nd-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week, projecting 16.8 points.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Joe Burrow: a clear but modest edge of 12.4 points of value over replacement (24.7 vs 12.3).
The draft market agrees: Joe Burrow goes first at ADP 54.5 vs 104.0 for Patrick Mahomes.
| Joe BurrowCIN | Patrick MahomesKAN | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 6 opponent | Bye | LAC | |
| Projected Week 6 points | 0.0 | 16.8 | Mahomes +16.8 pts |
| Matchup rank (QB vs defense, of 28) | - | #22 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 313.2 | 300.8 | Burrow +12.4 pts |
| Points per game | 18.4 | 17.7 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 24.7 | 12.3 | Burrow +12.4 |
| Overall rank | #50 | #57 | Burrow by 7 |
| Position rank | QB7 | QB8 | |
| Market ADP | 54.5 | 104.0 | Mahomes +49.5 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 5 | Rd 9 | |
| Bye week | 6 | 5 |
Should I start Joe Burrow or Patrick Mahomes in Week 6?
Start Patrick Mahomes this week: Joe Burrow is on bye in Week 6.
Should I draft Joe Burrow or Patrick Mahomes in 2026 fantasy football?
Joe Burrow. He projects 313.2 fantasy points with 24.7 value over replacement, vs 300.8 points and 12.3 for Patrick Mahomes (QB, PPR).