Jalen Hurts vs Patrick Mahomes
Who should you start in Week 6? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 6
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Jalen Hurts by 0.2 projected points (17.1 vs 16.8), close enough that either call is defensible.
Jalen Hurts faces CAR, the 27th-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week. Patrick Mahomes faces LAC, the 22nd-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Jalen Hurts, and it isn't close: 16.5 points of value over replacement separate them (28.7 vs 12.3).
The draft market agrees: Jalen Hurts goes first at ADP 75.9 vs 104.0 for Patrick Mahomes.
Health note: Jalen Hurts carries an injury flag of Out (Calf), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Jalen HurtsPHI | Patrick MahomesKAN | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 6 opponent | CAR | LAC | |
| Projected Week 6 points | 17.1 | 16.8 | Hurts +0.2 pts |
| Matchup rank (QB vs defense, of 28) | #27 | #22 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 317.3 | 300.8 | Hurts +16.5 pts |
| Points per game | 18.7 | 17.7 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 28.7 | 12.3 | Hurts +16.5 |
| Overall rank | #47 | #57 | Hurts by 10 |
| Position rank | QB5 | QB8 | |
| Market ADP | 75.9 | 104.0 | Mahomes +28.1 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 7 | Rd 9 | |
| Bye week | 10 | 5 | |
| Injury flag | Out | None |
Should I start Jalen Hurts or Patrick Mahomes in Week 6?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Jalen Hurts by 0.2 projected points (17.1 vs 16.8), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Jalen Hurts or Patrick Mahomes in 2026 fantasy football?
Jalen Hurts. He projects 317.3 fantasy points with 28.7 value over replacement, vs 300.8 points and 12.3 for Patrick Mahomes (QB, PPR).