Justin Herbert vs Jared Goff
Who should you start in Week 6? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 6
Start Justin Herbert this week: Jared Goff is on bye in Week 6.
Justin Herbert gets KC, the 27th-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week, projecting 14.5 points.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Justin Herbert, and it isn't close: 20.0 points of value over replacement separate them (0.0 vs -20.0).
The room sees it the other way: drafters take Jared Goff first (ADP 101.8 vs 103.4). If the model is right, Justin Herbert is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
| Justin HerbertLAC | Jared GoffDET | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 6 opponent | KC | Bye | |
| Projected Week 6 points | 14.5 | 0.0 | Herbert +14.5 pts |
| Matchup rank (QB vs defense, of 28) | #27 | - | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 272.0 | 252.0 | Herbert +20.0 pts |
| Points per game | 16.0 | 14.8 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 0.0 | -20.0 | Herbert +20.0 |
| Overall rank | #70 | #96 | Herbert by 26 |
| Position rank | QB12 | QB15 | |
| Market ADP | 103.4 | 101.8 | Herbert +1.6 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 9 | Rd 9 | |
| Bye week | 7 | 6 |
Should I start Justin Herbert or Jared Goff in Week 6?
Start Justin Herbert this week: Jared Goff is on bye in Week 6.
Should I draft Justin Herbert or Jared Goff in 2026 fantasy football?
Justin Herbert. He projects 272.0 fantasy points with 0.0 value over replacement, vs 252.0 points and -20.0 for Jared Goff (QB, PPR).