Jake Ferguson vs Dalton Kincaid
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean, refreshed every morning.
TE11
Jake Ferguson
145.6
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The model's pick
VS
TE13
Dalton Kincaid
134.0
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The call
The model takes Jake Ferguson: a clear but modest edge of 11.5 points of value over replacement (-27.2 vs -38.7).
The draft market agrees: Jake Ferguson goes first at ADP 132.7 vs 148.9 for Dalton Kincaid.
| Jake FergusonDAL | Dalton KincaidBUF | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 145.6 | 134.0 | Ferguson +11.5 pts |
| Points per game | 8.6 | 7.9 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -27.2 | -38.7 | Ferguson +11.5 |
| Overall rank | #108 | #123 | Ferguson by 15 |
| Position rank | TE11 | TE13 | |
| Market ADP | 132.7 | 148.9 | Kincaid +16.2 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 11 | Rd 13 | |
| Bye week | 14 | 7 |
Should I draft Jake Ferguson or Dalton Kincaid in 2026 fantasy football?
Jake Ferguson. He projects 145.6 fantasy points with -27.2 value over replacement, vs 134.0 points and -38.7 for Dalton Kincaid (TE, PPR).