Head to head · TE · 2026
Jake Ferguson vs Dalton Kincaid
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean — refreshed every morning.
The model's pick
Jake Ferguson
The model takes Jake Ferguson: a clear but modest edge of 11.5 points of value over replacement (-27.2 vs -38.7).
The draft market agrees: Jake Ferguson goes first at ADP 115.9 vs 133.4 for Dalton Kincaid.
| Jake Ferguson | Dalton Kincaid | |
|---|---|---|
| Team | DAL | BUF |
| Overall rank | #108 | #126 |
| Position rank | TE11 | TE13 |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 145.6 | 134.0 |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -27.2 | -38.7 |
| Market ADP | 115.9 | 133.4 |
Should I draft Jake Ferguson or Dalton Kincaid in 2026 fantasy football?
Jake Ferguson. He projects 145.6 fantasy points with -27.2 value over replacement, vs 134.0 points and -38.7 for Dalton Kincaid (TE, PPR).