Dalton Kincaid vs Isaiah Likely
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean, refreshed every morning.
TE13
Dalton Kincaid
134.0
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The model's pick
VS
TE15
Isaiah Likely
124.0
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The call
The model takes Dalton Kincaid: a clear but modest edge of 10.0 points of value over replacement (-38.7 vs -48.7).
The room sees it the other way: drafters take Isaiah Likely first (ADP 136.6 vs 148.9). If the model is right, Dalton Kincaid is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
| Dalton KincaidBUF | Isaiah LikelyNYG | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 134.0 | 124.0 | Kincaid +10.0 pts |
| Points per game | 7.9 | 7.3 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -38.7 | -48.7 | Kincaid +10.0 |
| Overall rank | #123 | #131 | Kincaid by 8 |
| Position rank | TE13 | TE15 | |
| Market ADP | 148.9 | 136.6 | Kincaid +12.3 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 13 | Rd 12 | |
| Bye week | 7 | 8 |
Should I draft Dalton Kincaid or Isaiah Likely in 2026 fantasy football?
Dalton Kincaid. He projects 134.0 fantasy points with -38.7 value over replacement, vs 124.0 points and -48.7 for Isaiah Likely (TE, PPR).