Travis Kelce vs Isaiah Likely
Who should you start in Week 3? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 3
Start Travis Kelce this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.9 projected points (10.2 vs 8.3).
Travis Kelce faces MIA, the 7th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week. Isaiah Likely faces TEN, the 12th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Travis Kelce, and it isn't close: 19.9 points of value over replacement separate them (-21.4 vs -41.2).
The draft market agrees: Travis Kelce goes first at ADP 108.5 vs 136.6 for Isaiah Likely.
| Travis KelceKAN | Isaiah LikelyNYG | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 3 opponent | MIA | TEN | |
| Projected Week 3 points | 10.2 | 8.3 | Kelce +1.9 pts |
| Matchup rank (TE vs defense, of 32) | #7 | #12 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 157.1 | 137.2 | Kelce +19.9 pts |
| Points per game | 9.2 | 8.1 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -21.4 | -41.2 | Kelce +19.9 |
| Overall rank | #100 | #116 | Kelce by 16 |
| Position rank | TE10 | TE13 | |
| Market ADP | 108.5 | 136.6 | Likely +28.1 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 9 | Rd 12 | |
| Bye week | 5 | 8 |
Should I start Travis Kelce or Isaiah Likely in Week 3?
Start Travis Kelce this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.9 projected points (10.2 vs 8.3).
Should I draft Travis Kelce or Isaiah Likely in 2026 fantasy football?
Travis Kelce. He projects 157.1 fantasy points with -21.4 value over replacement, vs 137.2 points and -41.2 for Isaiah Likely (TE, PPR).