Isaiah Likely vs Travis Kelce
Who should you start in Week 10? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 10
Start Isaiah Likely this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.6 projected points (13.7 vs 12.1).
Isaiah Likely faces WAS, the 8th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week. Travis Kelce faces ATL, the 6th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Isaiah Likely, and it isn't close: 32.6 points of value over replacement separate them (46.1 vs 13.4).
The room sees it the other way: drafters take Travis Kelce first (ADP 108.5 vs 136.6). If the model is right, Isaiah Likely is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
| Isaiah LikelyNYG | Travis KelceKAN | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 10 opponent | WAS | ATL | |
| Projected Week 10 points | 13.7 | 12.1 | Likely +1.6 pts |
| Matchup rank (TE vs defense, of 28) | #8 | #6 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 223.2 | 190.5 | Likely +32.6 pts |
| Points per game | 13.1 | 11.2 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 46.1 | 13.4 | Likely +32.6 |
| Overall rank | #37 | #61 | Likely by 24 |
| Position rank | TE4 | TE6 | |
| Market ADP | 136.6 | 108.5 | Likely +28.1 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 12 | Rd 9 | |
| Bye week | 8 | 5 |
Should I start Isaiah Likely or Travis Kelce in Week 10?
Start Isaiah Likely this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.6 projected points (13.7 vs 12.1).
Should I draft Isaiah Likely or Travis Kelce in 2026 fantasy football?
Isaiah Likely. He projects 223.2 fantasy points with 46.1 value over replacement, vs 190.5 points and 13.4 for Travis Kelce (TE, PPR).