George Kittle vs Travis Kelce
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean, refreshed every morning.
The call
The model takes George Kittle: a clear but modest edge of 7.3 points of value over replacement (-13.5 vs -20.9).
The room sees it the other way: drafters take Travis Kelce first (ADP 106.7 vs 116.7). If the model is right, George Kittle is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
Health note: George Kittle carries an injury flag of Questionable (Achilles), which is already reflected in his projection.
| George KittleSFO | Travis KelceKAN | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 159.2 | 151.9 | Kittle +7.3 pts |
| Points per game | 9.4 | 8.9 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -13.5 | -20.9 | Kittle +7.3 |
| Overall rank | #95 | #104 | Kittle by 9 |
| Position rank | TE9 | TE10 | |
| Market ADP | 116.7 | 106.7 | Kittle +10.0 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 10 | Rd 9 | |
| Bye week | 8 | 5 | |
| Injury flag | Questionable | None |
Should I draft George Kittle or Travis Kelce in 2026 fantasy football?
George Kittle. He projects 159.2 fantasy points with -13.5 value over replacement, vs 151.9 points and -20.9 for Travis Kelce (TE, PPR).