George Kittle vs Harold Fannin
Who should you start in Week 3? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 3
Start George Kittle this week: a clear but modest edge of 2.0 projected points (10.6 vs 8.5).
George Kittle faces ARI, the 9th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week. Harold Fannin faces CAR, the 30th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans George Kittle by 0.4 points of value over replacement (-9.0 vs -9.4), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The room sees it the other way: drafters take Harold Fannin first (ADP 74.9 vs 88.6). If the model is right, George Kittle is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
| George KittleSFO | Harold FanninCLE | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 3 opponent | ARI | CAR | |
| Projected Week 3 points | 10.6 | 8.5 | Kittle +2.0 pts |
| Matchup rank (TE vs defense, of 32) | #9 | #30 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 169.4 | 169.0 | Kittle +0.4 pts |
| Points per game | 10.0 | 9.9 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -9.0 | -9.4 | Kittle +0.4 |
| Overall rank | #84 | #85 | Kittle by 1 |
| Position rank | TE7 | TE8 | |
| Market ADP | 88.6 | 74.9 | Kittle +13.7 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 8 | Rd 7 | |
| Bye week | 8 | 11 |
Should I start George Kittle or Harold Fannin in Week 3?
Start George Kittle this week: a clear but modest edge of 2.0 projected points (10.6 vs 8.5).
Should I draft George Kittle or Harold Fannin in 2026 fantasy football?
George Kittle. He projects 169.4 fantasy points with -9.0 value over replacement, vs 169.0 points and -9.4 for Harold Fannin (TE, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.