Harold Fannin vs Isaiah Likely
Who should you start in Week 5? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 5
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Isaiah Likely by 0.3 projected points (12.0 vs 11.7), close enough that either call is defensible.
Isaiah Likely faces WAS, the 4th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week. Harold Fannin faces NYJ, the 26th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week.
Season-long, the model still ranks Harold Fannin ahead. This is a matchup call for Week 5, not a change of heart about the rest of the year.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Harold Fannin, and it isn't close: 26.2 points of value over replacement separate them (18.3 vs -7.9).
The draft market agrees: Harold Fannin goes first at ADP 74.9 vs 136.6 for Isaiah Likely.
Health note: Isaiah Likely carries an injury flag of Questionable (Knee), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Harold FanninCLE | Isaiah LikelyNYG | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 5 opponent | NYJ | WAS | |
| Projected Week 5 points | 11.7 | 12.0 | Likely +0.3 pts |
| Matchup rank (TE vs defense, of 30) | #26 | #4 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 210.3 | 184.1 | Fannin +26.2 pts |
| Points per game | 12.4 | 10.8 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 18.3 | -7.9 | Fannin +26.2 |
| Overall rank | #51 | #76 | Fannin by 25 |
| Position rank | TE7 | TE9 | |
| Market ADP | 74.9 | 136.6 | Likely +61.7 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 7 | Rd 12 | |
| Bye week | 11 | 8 | |
| Injury flag | None | Questionable |
Should I start Harold Fannin or Isaiah Likely in Week 5?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Isaiah Likely by 0.3 projected points (12.0 vs 11.7), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Harold Fannin or Isaiah Likely in 2026 fantasy football?
Harold Fannin. He projects 210.3 fantasy points with 18.3 value over replacement, vs 184.1 points and -7.9 for Isaiah Likely (TE, PPR).