Sam LaPorta vs Harold Fannin
Who should you start in Week 3? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 3
Start Sam LaPorta this week, and it isn't close: 3.1 projected points separate them (11.7 vs 8.5).
Sam LaPorta faces NYJ, the 5th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week. Harold Fannin faces CAR, the 30th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Sam LaPorta: a clear but modest edge of 9.4 points of value over replacement (0.0 vs -9.4).
The room sees it the other way: drafters take Harold Fannin first (ADP 74.9 vs 100.4). If the model is right, Sam LaPorta is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
| Sam LaPortaDET | Harold FanninCLE | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 3 opponent | NYJ | CAR | |
| Projected Week 3 points | 11.7 | 8.5 | LaPorta +3.1 pts |
| Matchup rank (TE vs defense, of 32) | #5 | #30 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 178.4 | 169.0 | LaPorta +9.4 pts |
| Points per game | 10.5 | 9.9 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 0.0 | -9.4 | LaPorta +9.4 |
| Overall rank | #71 | #85 | LaPorta by 14 |
| Position rank | TE6 | TE8 | |
| Market ADP | 100.4 | 74.9 | LaPorta +25.5 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 9 | Rd 7 | |
| Bye week | 6 | 11 |
Should I start Sam LaPorta or Harold Fannin in Week 3?
Start Sam LaPorta this week, and it isn't close: 3.1 projected points separate them (11.7 vs 8.5).
Should I draft Sam LaPorta or Harold Fannin in 2026 fantasy football?
Sam LaPorta. He projects 178.4 fantasy points with 0.0 value over replacement, vs 169.0 points and -9.4 for Harold Fannin (TE, PPR).