Harold Fannin vs Tucker Kraft
Who should you start in Week 5? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 5
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Tucker Kraft by 0.0 projected points (9.7 vs 9.7), close enough that either call is defensible.
Tucker Kraft faces CHI, the 21st-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week. Harold Fannin faces NYJ, the 25th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week.
Season-long, the model still ranks Harold Fannin ahead. This is a matchup call for Week 5, not a change of heart about the rest of the year.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Harold Fannin: a clear but modest edge of 5.9 points of value over replacement (-4.1 vs -10.0).
The draft market agrees: Harold Fannin goes first at ADP 74.9 vs 105.7 for Tucker Kraft.
| Harold FanninCLE | Tucker KraftGNB | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 5 opponent | NYJ | CHI | |
| Projected Week 5 points | 9.7 | 9.7 | Even |
| Matchup rank (TE vs defense, of 30) | #25 | #21 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 173.9 | 168.0 | Fannin +5.9 pts |
| Points per game | 10.2 | 9.9 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -4.1 | -10.0 | Fannin +5.9 |
| Overall rank | #80 | #85 | Fannin by 5 |
| Position rank | TE7 | TE8 | |
| Market ADP | 74.9 | 105.7 | Kraft +30.8 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 7 | Rd 9 | |
| Bye week | 11 | 11 |
Should I start Harold Fannin or Tucker Kraft in Week 5?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Tucker Kraft by 0.0 projected points (9.7 vs 9.7), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Harold Fannin or Tucker Kraft in 2026 fantasy football?
Harold Fannin. He projects 173.9 fantasy points with -4.1 value over replacement, vs 168.0 points and -10.0 for Tucker Kraft (TE, PPR).