Harold Fannin vs Kyle Pitts
Who should you start in Week 5? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 5
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Harold Fannin by 0.4 projected points (9.7 vs 9.3), close enough that either call is defensible.
Harold Fannin faces NYJ, the 25th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week. Kyle Pitts faces BAL, the 19th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Harold Fannin: a clear but modest edge of 13.4 points of value over replacement (-4.1 vs -17.5).
The draft market agrees: Harold Fannin goes first at ADP 74.9 vs 80.8 for Kyle Pitts.
| Harold FanninCLE | Kyle PittsATL | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 5 opponent | NYJ | BAL | |
| Projected Week 5 points | 9.7 | 9.3 | Fannin +0.4 pts |
| Matchup rank (TE vs defense, of 30) | #25 | #19 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 173.9 | 160.5 | Fannin +13.4 pts |
| Points per game | 10.2 | 9.4 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -4.1 | -17.5 | Fannin +13.4 |
| Overall rank | #80 | #94 | Fannin by 14 |
| Position rank | TE7 | TE9 | |
| Market ADP | 74.9 | 80.8 | Pitts +5.9 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 7 | Rd 7 | |
| Bye week | 11 | 11 |
Should I start Harold Fannin or Kyle Pitts in Week 5?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Harold Fannin by 0.4 projected points (9.7 vs 9.3), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Harold Fannin or Kyle Pitts in 2026 fantasy football?
Harold Fannin. He projects 173.9 fantasy points with -4.1 value over replacement, vs 160.5 points and -17.5 for Kyle Pitts (TE, PPR).