George Kittle vs Kyle Pitts
Who should you start in Week 3? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 3
Start George Kittle this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.7 projected points (10.6 vs 8.9).
George Kittle faces ARI, the 9th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week. Kyle Pitts faces GB, the 25th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes George Kittle: a clear but modest edge of 8.9 points of value over replacement (-9.0 vs -18.0).
The room sees it the other way: drafters take Kyle Pitts first (ADP 80.8 vs 88.6). If the model is right, George Kittle is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
| George KittleSFO | Kyle PittsATL | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 3 opponent | ARI | GB | |
| Projected Week 3 points | 10.6 | 8.9 | Kittle +1.7 pts |
| Matchup rank (TE vs defense, of 32) | #9 | #25 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 169.4 | 160.5 | Kittle +8.9 pts |
| Points per game | 10.0 | 9.4 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -9.0 | -18.0 | Kittle +8.9 |
| Overall rank | #84 | #94 | Kittle by 10 |
| Position rank | TE7 | TE9 | |
| Market ADP | 88.6 | 80.8 | Kittle +7.8 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 8 | Rd 7 | |
| Bye week | 8 | 11 |
Should I start George Kittle or Kyle Pitts in Week 3?
Start George Kittle this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.7 projected points (10.6 vs 8.9).
Should I draft George Kittle or Kyle Pitts in 2026 fantasy football?
George Kittle. He projects 169.4 fantasy points with -9.0 value over replacement, vs 160.5 points and -18.0 for Kyle Pitts (TE, PPR).