Tyler Warren vs George Kittle
Who should you start in Week 3? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 3
Start Tyler Warren this week: a clear but modest edge of 2.0 projected points (12.6 vs 10.6).
Tyler Warren faces HOU, the 10th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week. George Kittle faces ARI, the 9th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Tyler Warren, and it isn't close: 33.6 points of value over replacement separate them (24.6 vs -9.0).
The draft market agrees: Tyler Warren goes first at ADP 66.1 vs 88.6 for George Kittle.
| Tyler WarrenIND | George KittleSFO | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 3 opponent | HOU | ARI | |
| Projected Week 3 points | 12.6 | 10.6 | Warren +2.0 pts |
| Matchup rank (TE vs defense, of 32) | #10 | #9 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 203.0 | 169.4 | Warren +33.6 pts |
| Points per game | 11.9 | 10.0 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 24.6 | -9.0 | Warren +33.6 |
| Overall rank | #50 | #84 | Warren by 34 |
| Position rank | TE4 | TE7 | |
| Market ADP | 66.1 | 88.6 | Kittle +22.5 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 6 | Rd 8 | |
| Bye week | 13 | 8 |
Should I start Tyler Warren or George Kittle in Week 3?
Start Tyler Warren this week: a clear but modest edge of 2.0 projected points (12.6 vs 10.6).
Should I draft Tyler Warren or George Kittle in 2026 fantasy football?
Tyler Warren. He projects 203.0 fantasy points with 24.6 value over replacement, vs 169.4 points and -9.0 for George Kittle (TE, PPR).