George Kittle vs Tucker Kraft
Who should you start in Week 5? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 5
Start George Kittle this week: a clear but modest edge of 2.2 projected points (11.9 vs 9.7).
George Kittle faces SEA, the 2nd-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week. Tucker Kraft faces CHI, the 21st-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes George Kittle: a clear but modest edge of 9.2 points of value over replacement (-0.8 vs -10.0).
The draft market agrees: George Kittle goes first at ADP 88.6 vs 105.7 for Tucker Kraft.
| George KittleSFO | Tucker KraftGNB | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 5 opponent | SEA | CHI | |
| Projected Week 5 points | 11.9 | 9.7 | Kittle +2.2 pts |
| Matchup rank (TE vs defense, of 30) | #2 | #21 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 177.2 | 168.0 | Kittle +9.2 pts |
| Points per game | 10.4 | 9.9 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -0.8 | -10.0 | Kittle +9.2 |
| Overall rank | #73 | #85 | Kittle by 12 |
| Position rank | TE6 | TE8 | |
| Market ADP | 88.6 | 105.7 | Kraft +17.1 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 8 | Rd 9 | |
| Bye week | 8 | 11 |
Should I start George Kittle or Tucker Kraft in Week 5?
Start George Kittle this week: a clear but modest edge of 2.2 projected points (11.9 vs 9.7).
Should I draft George Kittle or Tucker Kraft in 2026 fantasy football?
George Kittle. He projects 177.2 fantasy points with -0.8 value over replacement, vs 168.0 points and -10.0 for Tucker Kraft (TE, PPR).