Head to head · TE · 2026
Travis Kelce vs Jake Ferguson
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean — refreshed every morning.
The model's pick
Travis Kelce
The model takes Travis Kelce: a clear but modest edge of 6.3 points of value over replacement (-20.9 vs -27.2).
The draft market agrees: Travis Kelce goes first at ADP 97.8 vs 115.9 for Jake Ferguson.
| Travis Kelce | Jake Ferguson | |
|---|---|---|
| Team | KAN | DAL |
| Overall rank | #103 | #108 |
| Position rank | TE10 | TE11 |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 151.9 | 145.6 |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -20.9 | -27.2 |
| Market ADP | 97.8 | 115.9 |
Should I draft Travis Kelce or Jake Ferguson in 2026 fantasy football?
Travis Kelce. He projects 151.9 fantasy points with -20.9 value over replacement, vs 145.6 points and -27.2 for Jake Ferguson (TE, PPR).