Travis Kelce vs Jake Ferguson
Who should you start in Week 5? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 5
Start Jake Ferguson this week: Travis Kelce is on bye in Week 5.
Jake Ferguson gets TB, the 29th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week, projecting 7.7 points.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Travis Kelce, and it isn't close: 17.4 points of value over replacement separate them (-20.9 vs -38.4).
The draft market agrees: Travis Kelce goes first at ADP 108.5 vs 137.4 for Jake Ferguson.
| Travis KelceKAN | Jake FergusonDAL | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 5 opponent | Bye | TB | |
| Projected Week 5 points | 0.0 | 7.7 | Ferguson +7.7 pts |
| Matchup rank (TE vs defense, of 30) | - | #29 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 157.1 | 139.6 | Kelce +17.4 pts |
| Points per game | 9.2 | 8.2 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -20.9 | -38.4 | Kelce +17.4 |
| Overall rank | #97 | #112 | Kelce by 15 |
| Position rank | TE10 | TE12 | |
| Market ADP | 108.5 | 137.4 | Ferguson +28.9 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 9 | Rd 12 | |
| Bye week | 5 | 14 |
Should I start Travis Kelce or Jake Ferguson in Week 5?
Start Jake Ferguson this week: Travis Kelce is on bye in Week 5.
Should I draft Travis Kelce or Jake Ferguson in 2026 fantasy football?
Travis Kelce. He projects 157.1 fantasy points with -20.9 value over replacement, vs 139.6 points and -38.4 for Jake Ferguson (TE, PPR).