Travis Kelce vs Jake Ferguson
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean, refreshed every morning.
TE10
Travis Kelce
151.9
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The model's pick
VS
TE11
Jake Ferguson
145.6
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The call
The model takes Travis Kelce: a clear but modest edge of 6.3 points of value over replacement (-20.9 vs -27.2).
The draft market agrees: Travis Kelce goes first at ADP 106.7 vs 132.7 for Jake Ferguson.
| Travis KelceKAN | Jake FergusonDAL | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 151.9 | 145.6 | Kelce +6.3 pts |
| Points per game | 8.9 | 8.6 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -20.9 | -27.2 | Kelce +6.3 |
| Overall rank | #104 | #108 | Kelce by 4 |
| Position rank | TE10 | TE11 | |
| Market ADP | 106.7 | 132.7 | Ferguson +26.0 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 9 | Rd 11 | |
| Bye week | 5 | 14 |
Should I draft Travis Kelce or Jake Ferguson in 2026 fantasy football?
Travis Kelce. He projects 151.9 fantasy points with -20.9 value over replacement, vs 145.6 points and -27.2 for Jake Ferguson (TE, PPR).