Tucker Kraft vs Travis Kelce
Who should you start in Week 3? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 3
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Travis Kelce by 0.3 projected points (10.2 vs 9.9), close enough that either call is defensible.
Travis Kelce faces MIA, the 7th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week. Tucker Kraft faces ATL, the 21st-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week.
Season-long, the model still ranks Tucker Kraft ahead. This is a matchup call for Week 3, not a change of heart about the rest of the year.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Tucker Kraft, and it isn't close: 15.8 points of value over replacement separate them (-4.3 vs -20.1).
The draft market agrees: Tucker Kraft goes first at ADP 105.7 vs 108.5 for Travis Kelce.
| Tucker KraftGNB | Travis KelceKAN | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 3 opponent | ATL | MIA | |
| Projected Week 3 points | 9.9 | 10.2 | Kelce +0.3 pts |
| Matchup rank (TE vs defense, of 32) | #21 | #7 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 172.9 | 157.1 | Kraft +15.8 pts |
| Points per game | 10.2 | 9.2 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -4.3 | -20.1 | Kraft +15.8 |
| Overall rank | #78 | #97 | Kraft by 19 |
| Position rank | TE7 | TE10 | |
| Market ADP | 105.7 | 108.5 | Kelce +2.8 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 9 | Rd 9 | |
| Bye week | 11 | 5 |
Should I start Tucker Kraft or Travis Kelce in Week 3?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Travis Kelce by 0.3 projected points (10.2 vs 9.9), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Tucker Kraft or Travis Kelce in 2026 fantasy football?
Tucker Kraft. He projects 172.9 fantasy points with -4.3 value over replacement, vs 157.1 points and -20.1 for Travis Kelce (TE, PPR).