Kyle Pitts vs Travis Kelce
Who should you start in Week 3? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 3
Start Travis Kelce this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.3 projected points (10.2 vs 8.9).
Travis Kelce faces MIA, the 7th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week. Kyle Pitts faces GB, the 25th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week.
Season-long, the model still ranks Kyle Pitts ahead. This is a matchup call for Week 3, not a change of heart about the rest of the year.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Kyle Pitts by 3.4 points of value over replacement (-18.0 vs -21.4), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market agrees: Kyle Pitts goes first at ADP 80.8 vs 108.5 for Travis Kelce.
| Kyle PittsATL | Travis KelceKAN | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 3 opponent | GB | MIA | |
| Projected Week 3 points | 8.9 | 10.2 | Kelce +1.3 pts |
| Matchup rank (TE vs defense, of 32) | #25 | #7 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 160.5 | 157.1 | Pitts +3.4 pts |
| Points per game | 9.4 | 9.2 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -18.0 | -21.4 | Pitts +3.4 |
| Overall rank | #94 | #100 | Pitts by 6 |
| Position rank | TE9 | TE10 | |
| Market ADP | 80.8 | 108.5 | Kelce +27.7 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 7 | Rd 9 | |
| Bye week | 11 | 5 |
Should I start Kyle Pitts or Travis Kelce in Week 3?
Start Travis Kelce this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.3 projected points (10.2 vs 8.9).
Should I draft Kyle Pitts or Travis Kelce in 2026 fantasy football?
Kyle Pitts. He projects 160.5 fantasy points with -18.0 value over replacement, vs 157.1 points and -21.4 for Travis Kelce (TE, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.