Head to head · TE · 2026
Jake Ferguson vs Dallas Goedert
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean — refreshed every morning.
The model's pick
Jake Ferguson
The model takes Jake Ferguson: a clear but modest edge of 6.3 points of value over replacement (-27.2 vs -33.5).
The draft market agrees: Jake Ferguson goes first at ADP 115.9 vs 121.6 for Dallas Goedert.
| Jake Ferguson | Dallas Goedert | |
|---|---|---|
| Team | DAL | PHI |
| Overall rank | #108 | #120 |
| Position rank | TE11 | TE12 |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 145.6 | 139.2 |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -27.2 | -33.5 |
| Market ADP | 115.9 | 121.6 |
Should I draft Jake Ferguson or Dallas Goedert in 2026 fantasy football?
Jake Ferguson. He projects 145.6 fantasy points with -27.2 value over replacement, vs 139.2 points and -33.5 for Dallas Goedert (TE, PPR).