Dallas Goedert vs Isaiah Likely
Who should you start in Week 3? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 3
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Isaiah Likely by 0.3 projected points (8.3 vs 8.0), close enough that either call is defensible.
Isaiah Likely faces TEN, the 12th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week. Dallas Goedert faces CHI, the 20th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week.
Season-long, the model still ranks Dallas Goedert ahead. This is a matchup call for Week 3, not a change of heart about the rest of the year.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Dallas Goedert by 2.1 points of value over replacement (-39.1 vs -41.2), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market agrees: Dallas Goedert goes first at ADP 121.6 vs 136.6 for Isaiah Likely.
Health note: Dallas Goedert carries an injury flag of Doubtful (Knee - MCL), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Dallas GoedertPHI | Isaiah LikelyNYG | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 3 opponent | CHI | TEN | |
| Projected Week 3 points | 8.0 | 8.3 | Likely +0.3 pts |
| Matchup rank (TE vs defense, of 32) | #20 | #12 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 139.3 | 137.2 | Goedert +2.1 pts |
| Points per game | 8.2 | 8.1 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -39.1 | -41.2 | Goedert +2.1 |
| Overall rank | #113 | #116 | Goedert by 3 |
| Position rank | TE12 | TE13 | |
| Market ADP | 121.6 | 136.6 | Likely +15.0 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 11 | Rd 12 | |
| Bye week | 10 | 8 | |
| Injury flag | Doubtful | None |
Should I start Dallas Goedert or Isaiah Likely in Week 3?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Isaiah Likely by 0.3 projected points (8.3 vs 8.0), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Dallas Goedert or Isaiah Likely in 2026 fantasy football?
Dallas Goedert. He projects 139.3 fantasy points with -39.1 value over replacement, vs 137.2 points and -41.2 for Isaiah Likely (TE, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.