Travis Kelce vs Dallas Goedert
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean, refreshed every morning.
TE10
Travis Kelce
151.9
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The model's pick
VS
TE12
Dallas Goedert
139.2
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The call
The model takes Travis Kelce: a clear but modest edge of 12.6 points of value over replacement (-20.9 vs -33.5).
The room sees it the other way: drafters take Dallas Goedert first (ADP 101.0 vs 106.7). If the model is right, Travis Kelce is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
| Travis KelceKAN | Dallas GoedertPHI | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 151.9 | 139.2 | Kelce +12.6 pts |
| Points per game | 8.9 | 8.2 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -20.9 | -33.5 | Kelce +12.6 |
| Overall rank | #104 | #118 | Kelce by 14 |
| Position rank | TE10 | TE12 | |
| Market ADP | 106.7 | 101.0 | Kelce +5.7 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 9 | Rd 9 | |
| Bye week | 5 | 10 |
Should I draft Travis Kelce or Dallas Goedert in 2026 fantasy football?
Travis Kelce. He projects 151.9 fantasy points with -20.9 value over replacement, vs 139.2 points and -33.5 for Dallas Goedert (TE, PPR).